El Nino, who are you ...?

When the 1997 Indonesian fires broke out in mid-May of that year, no one took too much notice, as it was the beginning of the dry season. When the monsoons that carried precious rain to douse the flames and for crop growing did not arrive, the fires soon burned out of control into firestorms. The burning was most severe in East Kalimantan, a section of Indonesian part of Borneo, and the island of Sumatra, where an estimated total of 10,000,000 hectares was either totally burned or badly ravaged by the fires. Haze and smoke from the fires spread across Indonesia and Southeast Asia. At its worst the haze spread halfway across the Indian Ocean to the Maldives, north to the Philippines and Thailand, east to Papua New Guinea, and across northern Australia (Appendix #1). The widespread haze caused numerous health problems, affecting approximately 70 million people and causing 20 million of them to become sick. When neighboring countries complained about the deadly haze, President Suharto made a rare public apology, referring to the poisonous haze from the fires as "an act of God."2 The latest estimate of the damages of the fires was about US$4.5 billion, although when added with the value of lost timber and crops, this total skyrocketed to almost $9 billion. As further analyses of the fire's damages are being conducted, this estimate might rise. But most of the costs were probably impossible to calculate, as the damage the fires and resulting haze had on the environment and ecosystem were priceless and irreplaceable. The new Environmental Minister Juwono Sudarsono under the new President B.J. Habibie estimated that it might cost $2 billion to effectively respond to the fires.3

an image of normal ocean temperature


an image of el nino
















Global map of: 1) normal ocean temperature, 2) el nino

The normal fires and the haze from it were significantly enhanced by El Nino, a weather phenomenon where the abnormally warm sea surface temperatures cause global weather patterns to change, resulting in abnormal weather effects around the world. In Indonesia, El Nino caused a drought because the monsoon season was pushed back from September to mid-November, and a delayed and shortened monsoon season caused a second drought in Indonesia. Usually undisturbed rain forests are highly resistant to fire because of their moisture, but will burn in extreme droughts. Drought and millions of dead biomass on the forest floor from selective logging made entire forests extremely prone to fire. As a result, instead of the normal flames being doused by the monsoon rains, the flames were left to ignite whole forests into an inferno. In addition, regulated fires set by timber and agribusiness firms were left to burn to clear more land for profit. Taking advantage of the extra months of the dry season, peasants who burned small amounts of land each year for subsistence farming increased their plot to grow more food. When the delayed monsoon rains arrived in Indonesia in November 1997, an estimated 2 million hectares of lush rain forest, brush and grasslands were already decimated in Kalimantan and Sumatra alone, and when the inter-monsoon season began in January, fires were spotted again all across Sumatra and Kalimantan. The same deadly cycle of the 1997 fires arose again, with thick haze from the fires spreading throughout Indonesia, until this second round of conflagrations ended in late April when rains arrived, but Indonesian officials stated that the fires had been expunged because "there was nothing left to burn."4 In fact, El Nino and La Nina were predicted well before they had any effect on Indonesia, but many parties ignored the warning and continued their usual burning of the forest. (source ...>>)

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